The Dynamics of Lake Garda: Water Turnover and Climate Change

After 20 years, a phenomenon has occurred in Lake Garda that deserves to be better understood, precisely because it illustrates how dynamic, alive, fascinating, and resilient a lake environment can be.

Lake Garda (or Benaco), as an oligomictic lake, falls into this category: a lake that only “occasionally” mixes its entire water column from top to bottom.

Water temperature is a fundamental parameter in this process, and it is also crucial for assessing the overall health of a lake.

Vertical mixing depends on temperature: when surface water warms up, it becomes lighter and tends to stratify (like oil on water in a glass), whereas when it cools, it sinks, mixing the entire water column during its descent.

Lake Garda turnover diagram
AI-generated diagram showing the vertical water mixing process in the lake

To put it simply, the interest lies not only in the movement of the water itself, but in what this circulation triggers.

Imagine this phenomenon as an elevator that descends to the ground floor (the lakebed), carrying oxygen loaded at the top floor (the surface).

Once the oxygen is delivered to the depths, the returning “elevator” brings nutrients—such as phosphorus—back to the surface from the bottom where they accumulate. This two-way journey is driven by temperature differences, homeothermy, wind, and waves.

When these nutrients (acting like fertilizers) reach the surface, solar radiation triggers the production of phytoplankton biomass (such as algae and cyanobacteria). The abundance of this biomass determines the transparency and quality of the water.

So, what happened in the end?

In theory, as occurred during the last complete mixings in 1999/2000 and 2004/2005, the surface waters should be fertilized by the mobilization of nutrients stored at the bottom.

We might therefore expect increased algal blooms and phytoplankton growth in the coming weeks, though much will depend on weather conditions, sun exposure, and incoming storms.

Meanwhile, the oxygen level at the lakebed, which had not been replenished for 20 years, has already increased by about a third, which is undoubtedly positive.

While waiting for further data to describe this phenomenon, I am curious to analyze the temperature measurements, which leave me somewhat puzzled.

APPA (Provincial Agency for Environmental Protection) recorded a temperature of 9.45°C at a depth of one meter on April 1st of this year—the exact same temperature recorded months earlier at a depth of 270 meters. This shows a homeothermy of the entire water column at that temperature, which, combined with favorable wind events, allowed for the complete water turnover.

In the book The Fish Fauna of Lake Garda (L’Ittiofauna del Lago di Garda), written in the early 1990s by Ivano Confortini, a graph showed late March temperatures in 1993: from the surface down to 260–280 meters, the temperature ranged between 8.79°C and 7.88°C–7.90°C.

This is a significant difference compared to current readings (9.45°C), as are the oxygen values (in mg/l) at those depths.

For now, this describes a concerning trend driven by global warming.

Despite these figures, news reported a sudden cooling of the waters in the northern part of the lake a few days ago.

However, this is explained by a shallow mixing of only the top meters of the lake, caused by the winds and storms of recent weeks, which brought cooler waters from a few meters down to the surface.

This is a transient phenomenon: the high temperatures we are experiencing will quickly warm the surface waters, reinforcing the thermal stratification of the lake.

Filippo Gavazzoni

Read more from GN Magazine – July 2026

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